Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.332690 0.389729 0.455995 0.539252 0.641881 0.765313 0.926615
2025-07-27 0.256184 0.330595 0.428203 0.568300 0.768764 1.052570 1.498588
2025-08-03 0.210367 0.291077 0.406850 0.590910 0.887845 1.370513 2.266398
2025-08-10 0.177079 0.258249 0.382945 0.597924 0.980689 1.681261 3.193809
2025-08-17 0.152654 0.232234 0.361502 0.599978 1.062256 2.003189 4.345708
2025-08-24 0.133327 0.210024 0.340547 0.595653 1.128404 2.322369 5.726100
2025-08-31 0.117331 0.190300 0.319463 0.584797 1.176539 2.624101 7.319035
2025-09-07 0.107944 0.180303 0.313619 0.601973 1.291401 3.147196 10.124437
2025-09-14 0.096769 0.165310 0.295546 0.588830 1.330136 3.488856 12.707295
2025-09-21 0.089310 0.156108 0.287125 0.594850 1.420040 4.038799 16.977750
2025-09-28 0.082230 0.146640 0.276538 0.593283 1.489480 4.571024 22.134430
2025-10-05 0.077875 0.141922 0.275083 0.613557 1.631061 5.471512 31.551872
2025-10-12 0.073629 0.137007 0.272704 0.631931 1.779191 6.545861 45.767426
2025-10-19 0.069574 0.131997 0.269384 0.647423 1.927770 7.784484 66.966279
2025-10-26 0.066264 0.128147 0.268132 0.668625 2.109392 9.408784 102.673101
2025-11-02 0.062465 0.122766 0.262376 0.675372 2.241613 10.943281 150.655951
2025-11-09 0.058814 0.117289 0.255564 0.677385 2.358033 12.563335 220.308573
2025-11-16 0.055193 0.111485 0.247097 0.672272 2.443547 14.125568 315.800871
2025-11-23 0.051599 0.105373 0.237014 0.659664 2.490960 15.505187 439.079261
2025-11-30 0.049698 0.103034 0.236526 0.679569 2.709156 18.794984 777.292441
2025-12-07 0.046580 0.097478 0.226635 0.664330 2.741991 20.433648 1111.674531
2025-12-14 0.044551 0.094368 0.223070 0.671306 2.901917 23.851138 1961.171695
2025-12-21 0.042378 0.090696 0.217459 0.669490 3.014104 27.072820 3385.629952